Tropical Storm Eloise - Jan 2021
Storms
How the score is calculated
The score starts at 8. It adds points from recorded affected, deaths, displaced and casualty counts, plus terms found in the story title, event type or status. For each count, only its highest matching band is used.
- Affected people
- 1–999: +5 · 1,000–9,999: +12 · 10,000–99,999: +20 · 100,000–999,999: +28 · 1 million+: +35
- Deaths
- 1–9: +8 · 10–99: +14 · 100–999: +22 · 1,000+: +30
- Displaced people
- 1–9,999: +6 · 10,000–99,999: +12 · 100,000+: +18
- Casualties
- 100 or more: +8
- Story wording
- +10 for terms such as catastrophe, famine, war, conflict, major earthquake, mass casualty or critical. Otherwise, +5 for active, ongoing, emergency, outbreak, cyclone or hurricane.
Score bands: Watch 0–24 · Moderate 25–49 · High 50–74 · Critical 75–100. Scores are capped at 100. Missing or unparseable figures add no points.
This is a rule-based WorldsAid triage indicator, not an official or independently validated classification. It does not account for recency or local context, and it can understate events with incomplete reporting. Check the linked sources.
Historical record
Status: CLOSED · Imported 2026-10-07
Closed for this historical import at the site owner’s request; not a new assessment of current conditions.
In brief
- What happenedSouthern Africa – Tropical Storm Eloise Flash Update No.1 As of 18 January 2021Southern Africa – Tropical Storm Eloise Flash Update No.1, As of 18 January 2021 A new weather system has formed in the south-west Indian Ocean and intensified into a moderate tropical storm, named Eloise, today.
- How many affectedAffected persons: 3,000,000
- What help is neededResponse priorities should be confirmed in the linked source reports as needs change.
What changed
First retained snapshot
No earlier verified snapshot is present in the recovered dataset. This record remains available as the historical baseline.
Situation
Southern Africa – Tropical Storm Eloise Flash Update No.1 As of 18 January 2021Southern Africa – Tropical Storm Eloise Flash Update No.1, As of 18 January 2021 A new weather system has formed in the south-west Indian Ocean and intensified into a moderate tropical storm, named Eloise, today. Tropical Storm Eloise is expected to make landfall in northern Madagascar around 19 to 20 January, ringing heavy rains and flooding. Although the storm will probably lose intensity while crossing Madagascar, it may regain strength after reaching the Mozambique Channel. Early predictions indicate that Tropical Storm Eloise will likely move towards central Mozambique, making landfall between 23 and 24 January. SITUATION OVERVIEW A low-pressure weather system that formed in the south-west Indian Ocean on 14 January has evolved into a moderate tropical storm, named Eloise, and is expected to make landfall in north-eastern Madagascar between 19 and 20 January, according to different weather services. The storm, which is currently about 700 km from the coast of Madagascar, continues to strengthen and could hit the country between Antalaha and Tamatave, potentially as a severe tropical storm, according to the Global Disaster Alert Coordination System . Although the storm is expected to weaken into a low pressure system after making landfall, it will likely evolve into a severe tropical storm after entering the Mozambique Channel on 21 January and could hit central Mozambique—potentially as a tropical cyclone—between 23 and 24 January. In Madagascar, the weather system could bring heavy winds and rains from tomorrow, 19 January, and cause floods and landslides in the north of the country, including areas affected by Tropical Storm Chalane in December 2019. More than 3 million people in Madagascar could be exposed to windspeeds upwards of 60km/hour, according to WFP’s Automated Disaster Analysis and Mapping (ADAM). In Mozambique, Tropical Storm Eloise is likely to affect the provinces of Inhambane, Sofala and Zambezia, according to the Mozambican National Meteorological Institute (INAM). More than 2.6 million people could be exposed to high windspeeds, according to ADAM.
Linked charities and agencies
WorldsAid verification
A WorldsAid editor reviewed this record against 1 attributed source, cleaned feed formatting and checked the crisis, place and reporting date. 1 human-impact figure was separated from the narrative and dated where the source allowed. Earlier observations remain in the evidence history instead of being silently overwritten.
Verified figures
- Affected persons
- 3,000,000 retained at 2021-01-19
What we knew when
- WorldsAid record entered the retained historical dataset.
- Last verification represented by this immutable snapshot.
Earlier figures are never replaced by later values; additional observations are retained as new ledger entries.
Provenance
This page renders the last verified WorldsAid cache directly in HTML. It does not treat generated summaries as primary evidence.
Cached dataset: worldsai_drup771.sql.gz
Verified
SHA-256 65d0fc5d2d5f727b34d40f3409a891e4ae9afdb4200f438e283dca8d4d5fbb58